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Street cuts mean less stock research
By Matt Krantz, USA TODAY
Wall Street layoffs and cutbacks are having an
unexpected negative effect on stocks: An increasing number of
companies no longer are followed by stock analysts.
Despite revelations that Wall Street research
has often been biased and used to drum up investment banking
business, analysts' research helps stocks.
Since October 1987, stocks that analysts
stopped covering have subsequently underperformed the Standard &
Poor's 500 index by nearly 2 percentage points each year, says Zacks
Investment Research. Stocks picking up coverage outperformed by
nearly 2 percentage points.
That's why experts are concerned to see more
companies losing analyst coverage. Many companies rely on analysts'
reports to get the attention of large investors such as mutual
funds. "When analysts drop coverage, institutional investors lose
interest in the stock," says Mitch Zacks, portfolio manager at
Zacks.
Only 4,499 companies have active analyst
coverage, vs. the peak of 6,072 companies covered in 1999, Zacks
says. Presently, 2,966 analysts cover stocks, down 10% from a year
ago and part of a three-year slump in the brokerage industry's
ranks.
Small and midsize companies are usually the
first to be dropped from coverage. That's bad for the stock market,
because it's usually smaller firms with innovations that lead in the
early stages of a bull market, says Chuck Hill, market strategist at
Thomson First Call. Without analyst coverage, it could take longer
for investors to find those stocks, Hill says.
Newly dropped:
- InfoUSA. In 1999, Wall Street firms couldn't cover this
seller of marketing services enough. Eager to get on good terms
with the company so they could win fees bringing its Internet unit
public, four major investment banks routinely published reports on
it, says Chief Financial Officer Stormy Dean. But after the
Internet bubble burst, the coverage evaporated. Now, no major
firms cover InfoUSA — and it's a struggle to get in front of
investors, Dean says.
"If you don't have analyst coverage, people
don't know about you," he says.
- Friedman Billings Ramsey. This regional investment
banking firm provides research on other companies, but no analysts
cover its stock. That's a complete reversal from February 2000,
when three major firms covered FBR.
FBR hired Bob Leahy as senior vice president of
communications in June 2002, partly to persuade research firms to
cover it again. "If you're a small or midcap, it's challenging to
get coverage," he says.
Not everyone thinks the drop-off is all bad.
Marc Gerstein, research chief at Multex, says investors can benefit
when Wall Street "discovers" a stock and begins to cover it.
"If you find a solid company that happens to
not have coverage, that could be a good thing," he says.
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